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  • 21 Oct 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has proposed a number of reforms to rules regarding the use of models to measure operational, market and credit risk. The proposed changes will have a significant effect on risk-weighted asset calculations for large US banks and European banks that use models extensively, particularly in assessing credit risk. The proposals improve the comparability of banks’ Pillar 1 capital under the Basel III framework, a credit positive...
  • 20 Oct 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    China’s State Council recently published two guidelines encouraging a series of measures to address high leverage in the corporate sector. The recognition of leverage as a potential source of risk, together with the willingness to consider a range of tools to address the problem, is credit positive...
  • 19 Oct 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Unregulated power producers will be required to significantly reduce carbon emissions to meet the targets set forth in Paris Agreement on Climate Change. We expect a continued increase in renewable energy production, distributed generation capacity and efficiency improvements that will lower the growth in the demand for energy. Utilities with flexible generation, renewable energy production and/or innovative service offerings are better positioned to weather changes in the sector...
  • 13 Oct 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Outbound M&A activity by Chinese companies continues to grow at a rapid pace. The country's drive for structural reform is shifting the focus of M&A activity away from resource-related sectors and towards higher-value industries in the pursuit of technology, brands and new markets. We expect this trend to continue, although there are significant execution and financial risks that could prohibit M&A deals from generating synergies...
  • 11 Oct 2016
    Moody's Investors Service
    Legacy asset reductions will slow for five European global investment banks (GIBs) – Barclays, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, RBS and UBS – over the next 12-18 months. Economic uncertainty in the United Kingdom and slow economic growth in the rest of Europe will continue to reduce investors’ appetite for the high-yielding assets in these GIBs’ non-core divisions, despite historically low interest rates...
Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

  • Adjusting to Lower Commodity Prices: A Credit Perspective

    Commodity prices have fallen to deep multi-year lows. The declines reflect a number of factors, including changes in supply, demand and exchange rates. This page provides a centralized source for Moody’s research on the credit impact of the sharp drop in commodity prices.
  • China’s Trilemma: Growth, Reform and Stability

    China’s policy makers have three main policy objectives: maintaining reasonably high rates of GDP growth, reforming and rebalancing the economy, and ensuring financial and economic stability. However, against a backdrop of slower growth, capital flow volatility and rising corporate stress, it will be increasingly difficult for these policy objectives to be achieved in unison, which will pose challenges for China’s credit universe. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues in China as the country's macroeconomic story continues to unfold.
  • Euro Area – The Road to Sustainable Growth

    Irrespective of the euro area's emergence from the acute phase of the region's debt crisis in the second half of 2012, economic growth - despite its recent acceleration - has been subdued, reflecting continued large stocks of public debt, restrictive financing conditions and pre-existing long-term structural constraints (including poor demographic prospects). Given these obstacles, as well as the still incomplete nature of the euro area's economic union, the growth model of the European Union and its core, the euro area, continues to face challenges. This page provides a centralized source for Moody's research related to key credit issues concerning these matters.
  • Environmental Risks and Developments

    Concern over environmental change is leading to significant government policy initiatives globally and rising corporate innovation and investment. This heightened attention will lead to disruptive industry change, shifting investor capital allocation strategies and rising input costs related to increased pricing on carbon emissions and water usage. At the same time, severe environmental events, whether natural (earthquakes, hurricanes, droughts and floods) or man-made (oil spills and nuclear accidents), are of growing concern to many market participants who are concerned natural events are increasing in frequency and severity. This page highlights Moody's research on the credit implications of these developing environmental trends.